Risks that until recently seemed theoretical have become operational reality. The main threat of 2026 is recognized as a large-scale attack on EU critical infrastructure — from sabotage of underwater cables and pipelines to disabling energy grids. These are not forecasts, but already recorded events with which existing security systems cannot cope.
The risk of the US withdrawing security guarantees to European allies, along with a possible ceasefire in Ukraine on Russia's terms, creates a security vacuum that nation-states and police are not prepared to fill.
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